Systemic Blind Spots: Why Persistent Against-the-Spread Underperformers in the 2011/12 Bundesliga Demanded Extreme Caution
Evaluating professional football clubs strictly by their outright victories often causes analytical blind spots when transitioning to handicap and spread selection markets. The 2011/2012 Bundesliga season serves as a prime historical example where several prominent squads consistently won matches on the pitch but repeatedly failed to cover the point spreads set by oddsmakers. This divergence…










